Polymarket (Global)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
180-199
Updated 4m ago · Settles Oct 9, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
6¢
Bid 5¢ · Ask 7¢
Pricedger fair probability
3%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
144,916
Fine-print risk
14/100
Resolution-rule audit
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