Polymarket (Global)
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Updated 7m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
3¢
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
787,261
Fine-print risk
36/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publica…
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