Polymarket (Global)
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
Updated 39m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
7¢
Bid 5¢ · Ask 8¢
Pricedger fair probability
3%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
34,478
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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