Polymarket (Global)
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?
October 1 - 31, 2026
Updated 1h ago · Settles Nov 2, 26 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
25¢
Bid 24¢ · Ask 26¢
Pricedger fair probability
24%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.5 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
31,540
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
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