Polymarket (Global)
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?
October 24
Updated 26m ago · Settles Oct 24, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
66¢
Bid 63¢ · Ask 69¢
Pricedger fair probability
67%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-2.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
44,961
Fine-print risk
52/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a curfew is officially announced in any part of Paris, Marseille, Lyon, Toulouse, Nice, Nantes, Montpellier, Strasbourg, Bordeaux, or Lille, France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The listed cities refer to the municipalities (communes) of those names, within their official municipal boundaries. Cur…
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