Polymarket (Global)

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Match Winner

Updated 32m ago · Settles Oct 9, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

84¢

Bid 83¢ · Ask 84¢

Pricedger fair probability

85%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.2 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

33,033

Fine-print risk

44/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Vitality and PARIVISION in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against PARIVISION. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, t…

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology