Polymarket (Global)

Counter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

Match Winner

Updated 8m ago · Settles Oct 14, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

22¢

Bid 20¢ · Ask 24¢

Pricedger fair probability

21%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-0.6 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

42,904

Fine-print risk

44/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Final match between ex-Keyd Stars and Galorys in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-Keyd Stars" if ex-Keyd Stars win the match against Galorys. This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win the match against ex-Keyd Stars. If the match is cancel…

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology