Polymarket (Global)
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs
Match Winner
Updated just now · Settles Nov 1, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
48¢
Bid 47¢ · Ask 48¢
Pricedger fair probability
47%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
118,120
Fine-print risk
44/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between HOTU and 1WIN in the Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against 1WIN. This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win the match against HOTU. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology