Polymarket (Global)

Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

Match Winner

Updated 1h ago · Settles Oct 9, 26 · archived

Polymarket (Global) YES

27¢

Bid 24¢ · Ask 29¢

Pricedger fair probability

25%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-1.3 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

33,566

Fine-print risk

44/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between Grêmio Esports and Yawara Esports in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Grêmio Esports" if Grêmio Esports win the match against Yawara Esports. This market will resolve to "Yawara Esports" if Yawara Esports win the match against…

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology