Polymarket (Global)

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

Updated 6m ago · Settles Oct 9, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

33¢

Bid 32¢ · Ask 33¢

Pricedger fair probability

31%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+0.5 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

44,253

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between FURIA and MOUZ in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ wins 2 or more maps than FURIA in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FURIA". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that…

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology