Polymarket (Global)
Map Handicap: DEN (-1.5) vs Turma do Pagode (+1.5)
Map Handicap: DEN (-1.5) vs Turma do Pagode (+1.5)
Updated 37m ago · Settles Oct 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
59¢
Bid 58¢ · Ask 60¢
Pricedger fair probability
60%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.5 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
47,224
Fine-print risk
50/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between DENDELE CS and Turma do Pagode in the Gamers Club Masters Group A, initially scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "DENDELE CS" if DENDELE CS wins 2 or more maps than Turma do Pagode in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Turma do Pagode". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default a…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology