Polymarket (Global)

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

Updated 18m ago · Settles Oct 11, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

0¢

Bid — · Ask 0¢

Pricedger fair probability

—

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

—

No side call

Volume

133,746

Fine-print risk

50/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market refers to the Counter-Strike 3rd Place match between Aurora Gaming and Spirit in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than Aurora Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards t…

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology