Polymarket (Global)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Match Winner
Updated 33m ago · Settles Oct 27, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
57¢
Bid 56¢ · Ask 57¢
Pricedger fair probability
57%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.2 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
88,674
Fine-print risk
44/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Astralis and fnatic in the Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against fnatic. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win the match against Astralis. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology