Polymarket (Global)
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
December 31, 2026
Updated 18m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
5¢
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+3.0 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
38,785
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Th…
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