Polymarket (Global)
FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
O/U 4.5
Updated 26m ago · Settles Oct 10, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
51¢
Bid 50¢ · Ask 51¢
Pricedger fair probability
51%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.5 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
39,399
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Augsburg and FC Bayern München, scheduled for October 10 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if FC Augsburg and FC Bayern München combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is can…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology