Polymarket (Global)
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Updated 15m ago · Settles Jan 5, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
43¢
Bid 42¢ · Ask 44¢
Pricedger fair probability
43%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
50,648
Fine-print risk
50/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections: - Democrats have a seat count of 235 or more in the House - Democrats have a seat count of 51 or more in the Senate Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress an…
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