Polymarket (Global)
Melbourne United vs. Illawarra Hawks
Melbourne United
Updated 1h ago · Settles Oct 25, 26 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
0¢
Bid — · Ask 0¢
Pricedger fair probability
—
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
—
No side call
Volume
44,064
Fine-print risk
14/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 18 at 2:00AM ET: If the Melbourne United win, the market will resolve to "Melbourne United". If the Illawarra Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Illawarra Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determin…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology