Polymarket (Global)
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?
Up
Updated 38m ago · Settles Oct 8, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
32¢
Bid 31¢ · Ask 33¢
Pricedger fair probability
31%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.1 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
32,793
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 8 '26 12:00…
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