Polymarket (Global)
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10?
Up
Updated 21m ago · Settles Oct 10, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
54¢
Bid 53¢ · Ask 54¢
Pricedger fair probability
54%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.3 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
38,542
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 10 '26 12:…
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