Polymarket (Global)

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

December 31, 2026

Updated 11m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

6¢

Bid 5¢ · Ask 7¢

Pricedger fair probability

3%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.6 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

1,836,198

Fine-print risk

8/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently…

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology