Polymarket (Global)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
30¢
Bid 29¢ · Ask 30¢
Pricedger fair probability
28%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.3 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
3,885,188
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
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