Polymarket (Global)
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Updated 33m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
98¢
Bid 96¢ · Ask 99¢
Pricedger fair probability
98%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.5 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
58,724
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/),…
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