Polymarket (Global)
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?
Rodri
Updated 21m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
100¢
Bid 100¢ · Ask 100¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
48,022
Fine-print risk
36/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Rodri" if Rodri finishes higher than Lionel Messi in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Messi" if Lionel Messi finishes higher than Rodri. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed…
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