Polymarket (Global)
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Mbappé
Updated 18m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
51¢
Bid 49¢ · Ask 52¢
Pricedger fair probability
51%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-1.5 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
37,947
Fine-print risk
36/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Mbappé" if Kylian Mbappé finishes higher than Lamine Yamal in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Yamal" if Lamine Yamal finishes higher than Kylian Mbappé. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the aw…
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