Polymarket (Global)
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Rafael Jodar
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Updated 14m ago · Settles Oct 17, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
33¢
Bid 32¢ · Ask 33¢
Pricedger fair probability
31%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.5 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
33,625
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Rafael Jodar in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not pla…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology