Polymarket (Global)
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud
Learner Tien
Updated 4m ago · Settles Oct 19, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
60¢
Bid 59¢ · Ask 60¢
Pricedger fair probability
60%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.1 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
50,654
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology