Polymarket (Global)

European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Marcos Giron

Jan-Lennard Struff

Updated 1h ago · Settles Oct 26, 26 · archived

Polymarket (Global) YES

83¢

Bid 82¢ · Ask 83¢

Pricedger fair probability

84%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.1 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

160,524

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Marcos Giron in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Marcos Giron. This market will resolve to 'Marcos Giron' if Marcos Giron advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a ti…

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology