Polymarket (Global)
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui
Tristan Schoolkate
Updated 1h ago · Settles Oct 31, 26 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
53¢
Bid 52¢ · Ask 54¢
Pricedger fair probability
53%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.8 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
125,620
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Schoolkate and Jie Cui in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Schoolkate' if Tristan Schoolkate advances against Jie Cui. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against Tristan Schoolkate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has no…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology