Polymarket (Global)

Palermo: Michele Ribecai vs Jonas Forejtek

Michele Ribecai

Updated 1h ago · Settles Oct 16, 26 · archived

Polymarket (Global) YES

81¢

Bid 78¢ · Ask 84¢

Pricedger fair probability

83%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-1.1 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

52,889

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market refers to the tennis match between Michele Ribecai and Jonas Forejtek in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Jonas Forejtek. This market will resolve to 'Jonas Forejtek' if Jonas Forejtek advances against Michele Ribecai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a win…

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology