Polymarket (Global)

Maia: Francesco Passaro vs Zsombor Piros

Francesco Passaro

Updated 1h ago · Settles Oct 25, 26 · archived

Polymarket (Global) YES

99¢

Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢

Pricedger fair probability

99%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

0.0 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

143,459

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Passaro and Zsombor Piros in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Passaro' if Francesco Passaro advances against Zsombor Piros. This market will resolve to 'Zsombor Piros' if Zsombor Piros advances against Francesco Passaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a w…

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology