Polymarket (Global)

Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev

Nikita Mashtakov

Updated 41m ago · Settles Nov 16, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

33¢

Bid 32¢ · Ask 33¢

Pricedger fair probability

31%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+0.5 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

71,643

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Mashtakov and Adrian Andreev in the Hersonissos 3, Greece, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 4:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Adrian Andreev. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Andreev' if Adrian Andreev advances against Nikita Mashtakov. If the match is canceled (not played a…

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology