Polymarket (Global)

Sioux Falls: Timo Legout vs Daniel de Jonge

Timo Legout

Updated 1h ago · Settles Nov 1, 26 · archived

Polymarket (Global) YES

100¢

Bid 100¢ · Ask 100¢

Pricedger fair probability

99%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.0 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

60,186

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market refers to the tennis match between Timo Legout and Daniel de Jonge in the Sioux Falls, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timo Legout' if Timo Legout advances against Daniel de Jonge. This market will resolve to 'Daniel de Jonge' if Daniel de Jonge advances against Timo Legout. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie…

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology