Polymarket (Global)
Guangzhou 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs James McCabe
Jay Dylan Friend
Updated 52m ago · Settles Oct 28, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
67¢
Bid 66¢ · Ask 67¢
Pricedger fair probability
67%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.5 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
71,508
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Dylan Friend and James McCabe in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' if Jay Dylan Friend advances against James McCabe. This market will resolve to 'James McCabe' if James McCabe advances against Jay Dylan Friend. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a w…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology