Polymarket (Global)
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
Kilian Feldbausch
Updated 1h ago · Settles Nov 13, 26 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
45¢
Bid 43¢ · Ask 47¢
Pricedger fair probability
45%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-1.7 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
66,847
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the tennis match between Kilian Feldbausch and Sumit Nagal in the Taranto, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kilian Feldbausch' if Kilian Feldbausch advances against Sumit Nagal. This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Kilian Feldbausch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology