Polymarket (Global)
Almaty Open: James Duckworth vs Luciano Darderi
James Duckworth
Updated 1h ago · Settles Oct 28, 26 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
78¢
Bid 77¢ · Ask 79¢
Pricedger fair probability
79%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.4 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
121,697
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the tennis match between James Duckworth and Luciano Darderi in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Luciano Darderi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against James Duckworth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie,…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology