Polymarket (Global)
Maia: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer
Matej Dodig
Updated 59m ago · Settles Oct 23, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
82¢
Bid 81¢ · Ask 82¢
Pricedger fair probability
83%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.4 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
98,479
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the tennis match between Matej Dodig and Tristan Boyer in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matej Dodig' if Matej Dodig advances against Tristan Boyer. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Boyer' if Tristan Boyer advances against Matej Dodig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been dete…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology