Polymarket (Global)

Santa Cruz 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Updated 1h ago · Settles Oct 19, 26 · archived

Polymarket (Global) YES

20¢

Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢

Pricedger fair probability

18%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.3 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

132,797

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Boscardin Dias and Facundo Mena in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Boscardin Dias' if Pedro Boscardin Dias advances against Facundo Mena. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Pedro Boscardin Dias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends…

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology