Polymarket (Global)
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Rei Sakamoto
Gabriel Diallo
Updated 1h ago · Settles Oct 25, 26 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
35¢
Bid 34¢ · Ask 35¢
Pricedger fair probability
34%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.3 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
124,033
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Diallo and Rei Sakamoto in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Rei Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Gabriel Diallo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie,…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology