Polymarket (Global)
Fort Worth: Kaylan Bigun vs Aidan Mayo
Kaylan Bigun
Updated 1h ago · Settles Oct 28, 26 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
25¢
Bid 24¢ · Ask 25¢
Pricedger fair probability
23%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
147,924
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaylan Bigun and Aidan Mayo in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaylan Bigun' if Kaylan Bigun advances against Aidan Mayo. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Mayo' if Aidan Mayo advances against Kaylan Bigun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determ…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology