Polymarket (Global)

Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-5.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+5.5)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-5.5

Updated 4m ago · Settles Oct 19, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

51¢

Bid 50¢ · Ask 51¢

Pricedger fair probability

51%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-0.5 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

33,558

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to "Carlos Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins 5.5 or more total games than Zizou Bergs in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Zizou Bergs". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in pla…

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