Polymarket (Global)
Florence: Franco Agamenone vs Max Houkes
Franco Agamenone
Updated 11m ago · Settles Oct 26, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
28¢
Bid 27¢ · Ask 28¢
Pricedger fair probability
26%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.8 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
43,873
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market refers to the tennis match between Franco Agamenone and Max Houkes in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Franco Agamenone' if Franco Agamenone advances against Max Houkes. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Franco Agamenone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has no…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology