Polymarket (Global)

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic

Updated 16m ago · Settles Jan 5, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

93¢

Bid 92¢ · Ask 93¢

Pricedger fair probability

95%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+2.0 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

97,288

Fine-print risk

16/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), for December 31, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this marke…

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