Polymarket (Global)
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?
December 31
Updated 14m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
6¢
Bid 5¢ · Ask 7¢
Pricedger fair probability
3%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
30,166
Fine-print risk
70/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham's departure as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The departure will be considered to be announced when Andy Burnham, the Government of the United Kingdom, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Burnham has ceased or will cea…
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