Polymarket (Global)
AI bubble burst in 2026?
December 31, 2026
Updated 19m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
6¢
Bid 6¢ · Ask 6¢
Pricedger fair probability
3%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
2,436,379
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the AI industry experiences an industry downturn by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the AI industry will be considered to have experienced an industry downturn once at least three of the following events have occurred within 90 days of this market's specified timeframe: - NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) clos…
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