Polymarket (Global)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
None
Updated 52m ago · Settles Nov 3, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
22¢
Bid 21¢ · Ask 22¢
Pricedger fair probability
19%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.1 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
54,706
Fine-print risk
18/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if…
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