Polymarket (Global)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

R Senate, D House

Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

28¢

Bid 27¢ · Ask 28¢

Pricedger fair probability

25%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.5 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

2,679,375

Fine-print risk

50/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology