Kalshi
Will Flávio Bolsonaro receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
At least 48%
Updated 1d ago · Settles Oct 25, 27
Kalshi YES
99¢
Bid 98¢ · Ask 100¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-1.1 pts
On YES after fees · medium confidence
Volume
41,142
Fine-print risk
6/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
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