Kalshi
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Tarcísio de Freitas
Updated 5d ago · Settles Oct 4, 27
Kalshi YES
97¢
Bid 99¢ · Ask 100¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.1 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
25,565
Fine-print risk
19/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
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