Kalshi
Will the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season be at least 3.0°C?
At least 3.0°C
Updated 3m ago · Settles Aug 15, 27
Kalshi YES
66¢
Bid 68¢ · Ask 71¢
Pricedger fair probability
71%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-1.8 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
36,260
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
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