Kalshi
Will the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season be between 2.5°C and 2.9°C?
2.5°C to 2.9°C
Updated 15m ago · Settles Aug 15, 27
Kalshi YES
46¢
Bid 38¢ · Ask 44¢
Pricedger fair probability
40%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-4.1 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
28,111
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 2.5 and 2.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
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